USDT is the biggest mine in the industry. It's not non-explosive. It's just not sure when.
Under such arguments, USDT is declared dead once a cycle.
There's not much to encrypt about USDT. Let's look at the consolidated.
2017, Tether @Tether_to It was initially stated that each USDT was supported by US$ 1 cash, but subsequently its account was not adequately held at that time.
Tether was hard-working and had directly publicized a self-inspection report stating that the cash reserve was sufficient, but there were rumours that it had been discovered that the funds had been deposited in the account only on the day the report was published and that the outside world had expressed alarm at the operation for which they had been printed.
Unprecedentedly, in 2018, huge financial losses were incurred as a result of reliance on unregulated third-party payment facilities, Cripto Capital, Bitfinex and Tether.
New York State Attorney's office has identified Bitfinex. @bitfinex Tether had been misappropriated up to $850 million to cope with withdrawal pressures, and had subsequently concealed the truth and declared that the funds were intact. This was the peak of Tether’s credibility crisis.
In 2019-2021, the Office of the Attorney General of New York launched an investigation into Bitfinex and Tether.
In February 2021, the parties reconciled and Bitfinex and Tether paid $18.5 million in fines and were required to cease operating in New York, to open quarterly balance sheets and to report on the flow of funds.
Following this reconciliation, Tether began to issue quarterly certification reports, but external doubts remain as to the accuracy of its data.
2022: Tether suffered a large-scale decoupling incident in mid-year, which at one time collapsed by $0.95.
The official response stated that the system had been attacked by DDOS, but the audit reputation was again questioned. In August of the same year, Tether first issued a mid-term financial statement, examined by the Italian branch of BDO, showing assets of $6.64 billion as at 30 June 2022, liabilities of $6.62 billion, short-term holdouts, etc.
Although this was considered to be an increase in transparency, it was only a review report and did not meet full auditing standards.
As for the BDO, it also has a more familiar name: the Trust Service Network.
Yes, but the level of their audit or assurance operations is not evaluated here.
In 2023-2025, Tether announced a gradual increase in the build-up of assets, such as bitcoin and gold, along with large-scale purchases of United States Treasury bonds, which, according to official newspapers, amounted to $135 billion in 2025.
In the last 10 years, USDT has been like the sword of Damocles hanging over every encrypted participant.
Encryption markets focus on their high-risk configuration and compliance initiatives. To date, while USDT has remained an absolute leader in the area of currency stabilization in various markets, the controversy over the composition of its reserves and its audit has never really dissipated.
The CEO doesn't even feel like it.
CEO Paolo Ardoino @paoloardoino It was publicly acknowledged that the four leading accounting firms were afraid to cooperate with Tether for reasons of reputation, and that they were eventually able to hire only BDO and other accounting firms for quarterly certification.
Tether doesn't look like Circe. @circle Listed, the evidence does not represent anything, nor does it correspond to the trial plan.
Other than this, Tether's disclosure of financial flows, hosting channels and related transactions remains limited. It stated that information on its trustees, counterparties and account openers was almost unknown and that there was a lack of segregation of client funds from corporate assets.
The Beacon’s fear is not unreasonable; this offshore mode of operation has become a shadow-bank black box, Tether is the digital central bank of the encrypted market, and the details of its operations have long been non-transparent.
Words must go to the top. On 26 November 2025, the Pipeline lowered the stability assessment of USDT from the limit down to the lowest level in its stable currency rating system.
Rating agencies such as S&P consider that Tether ' s significant increase in high-risk exposures in asset allocation is at the heart of this downgrade.
According to the report, Tether ' s latest balance sheet for the third quarter of 2025 showed total company reserves of approximately $181.2 billion, liabilities of $174.4 billion and excess reserves of only about $6.8 billion (3.9 per cent).
Of that amount, the United States Treasury owed approximately $135.0 billion, or about 75 per cent of total reserves, while the share of risky assets, such as gold and bitcoin, rose significantly: gold of about $12.9 billion, bitcoin of about $9.9 billion, plus a total of approximately $2.28 billion (12.6 per cent).
At the same time, other high-risk investments, such as corporate bonds and guaranteed loans, are increasing.
Bloomberg reported that as of September 2025, Tether had held more than $12.9 billion in in-kind gold, exceeding some of the small central bank reserves and, on average, an increase of more than 1 ton per week over the past year.
S&P reports that these high-risk asset disclosures are limited and subject to credit risk, market risk, interest rate and foreign exchange risk.
The current increase in the market value of bitcoin has led to considerable gains on Tether's books, but at the same time has introduced a volatile threat.
Here's a snag:Share of the excess of collateral value over debt (or currency issued), the commonly used formula approximates: over-collateralization = (collateral value - value of debt) value of debt.
This is a good understanding of S&P ' s argument that Bitcoin, which accounts for about 5.6 per cent of the market value of USDT, has exceeded its over-collateralization rate of 3.9 per cent, which means that if the Bitcoin price falls, combined with the fall in the value of other high-risk assets, it could lead to a lack of Tether ' s reserve coverage.
Then the story of 1 US$ = $1 can't be said to be sewn!
Based on this logic, S&P reduced the USDT stability rating from the original limit to weakness. Of course, Tether is certainly strongly opposed to this, stating that the rating framework is outdated, ignoring the size and macro-level importance of USDT.
It's useless to talk hard. Did the Bahrain Bank, which opened its business in London in 1762, say it was important for British macroeconomics? It's too important.
In February 1995, it collapsed.
The market has reacted differently to this adjustment by Tether, believing that USDT is still convinced and questioning USDT.
Essentially, it is the uncertainty of the future market, and if bitcoin continues to rise, everyone will continue to use U with one eye open. If Bitcoin were to return in a large way, how would Tatar cope?
But there are still people who talk for Teda.
Lutnick, the United States Secretary of Commerce and financial giant, said that he was cautiously optimistic, stating that Tether had been pegged to a dollar for a long time, but at the same time mentioned that the lack of regulatory clearances and audits remained a concern, consistent with the general focus.
Media, including Bloomberg and Reuters, have indicated that traditional financial institutions have much less confidence in USDT than they have in such compliant currencies as USDC.
Where does USDT, the encrypted world's faucet go next?
Look at this line first. The global attitude towards the currency has been turned into a request to turn the lights on.
The United States standards are straightforward: 100 per cent of the reserves, ready to be paid, subject to rigorous trial, and the custodians are required to be compliant licence holders.
Tether ' s set of offshore + high-income asset configurations, if adapted to this standard, is equivalent to rebuilding itself. The real-time foreclosure, compliance hosting, and full-scale auditing are all at the heart of its current pattern.
The oligopoly saved Taida, but the USDT is still the boss, but a bunch of rivals in the back have been queuing up: high-transparent, licensed, USDC, USDP, etc., for compliance.
Troops under the city! If the USDT does not follow the rule, it may not collapse immediately, but the market share is diluted, that is, time.
But then again, the real scary thing about USDT is it.Network effectsCross-border transfers, off-the-shelf OTC, small exchanges and emerging markets, when local banks are in a mess, USDT becomes a shadow dollar.
In many countries, it has long been used to being a bank that cannot be trusted, a government that cannot be trusted and a U that can spend its money.
This level of demand is such that the position of USDT cannot be completely shaken in the short term.
But wild needs and compliance are ultimately two sides of a coin.
If the future is to live long, the options for USDT are really limited.
Either establish regulated entities, introduce genuine independent audits and gradually structure the reserve in a secure direction. Either they continue to sing in the grey area, making a good profit but at risk of being shot at.
Once US or international regulators are toughened: USDT cannot be used in their own financial systems, regulators, and trading platforms, it is a substantial market blockade for Tether, and it will be a disaster.
It's a USDT mine risk.
It's a risk of life and death.

